Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.228327 0.263544 0.302188 0.347711 0.399849 0.457673 0.526649
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.181325 0.229255 0.286560 0.360014 0.451569 0.561830 0.704622
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.141775 0.194928 0.263680 0.358869 0.486993 0.653215 0.884996
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.112316 0.166967 0.243013 0.356082 0.519423 0.746270 1.084650
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.090828 0.145222 0.226227 0.354888 0.553269 0.846547 1.311838
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075094 0.128508 0.213240 0.356317 0.590607 0.957459 1.573306
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.064213 0.117070 0.205988 0.364892 0.639949 1.093984 1.896690
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.053837 0.104235 0.193860 0.362833 0.670992 1.205472 2.197247
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.047034 0.096321 0.188624 0.371516 0.721566 1.357051 2.589931
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.039823 0.086089 0.177154 0.366404 0.745743 1.465015 2.920784
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.035061 0.079746 0.171901 0.372143 0.791170 1.618462 3.359883
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.029648 0.070879 0.159876 0.361849 0.802564 1.707455 3.685957
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026819 0.067260 0.158451 0.374191 0.864117 1.908259 4.275047
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024461 0.064251 0.157837 0.388278 0.932021 2.132950 4.950517
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021484 0.059092 0.151329 0.387637 0.966745 2.291596 5.507111
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018839 0.054198 0.144526 0.385030 0.996441 2.443566 6.072609
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016656 0.050051 0.138789 0.384008 1.029811 2.609075 6.695637
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014895 0.046683 0.134426 0.385731 1.070398 2.797933 7.404327
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013658 0.044562 0.133011 0.395115 1.132569 3.049282 8.307199
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012158 0.041301 0.127793 0.392974 1.163432 3.225889 9.045409
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011214 0.039574 0.126674 0.402412 1.228076 3.500296 10.083149
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009944 0.036486 0.120889 0.396927 1.249147 3.660992 10.837134
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009135 0.034772 0.119025 0.403155 1.305950 3.928928 11.930791